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Module 1/4 26 min

Why today's solution becomes next quarter's problem

Step 1 / 2·Three common mechanisms

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Learning objectives — after this module you will:

  • Recognise the three backfire mechanisms
  • Tell a symptom from a cause
  • Notice when you are treating a symptom
Learn ~14 min

Three common mechanisms

Put names to things you have seen but could not name.

A decision that is sensible at department level can produce a worse outcome for the organisation as a whole. Not because anyone miscalculated, but because the system has connections the decision-maker cannot see while looking only at their own part.

Three mechanisms with examples

MechanismHow it plays outExample in HR
Shifting the burdenA quick fix eases the symptom, so nobody has a reason to address the cause, and the capability to address it withersShort of people, so you outsource. The more you outsource, the less you invest in internal development, and the shorter of people you really are
Local optimisationEach department optimises its own measure and the whole gets worseRecruitment optimises time-to-hire and lowers the bar to close roles faster. First-year attrition rises and the total number of roles to fill goes up
Feedback delayThe consequence appears so late that nobody connects it to the causeCut the training budget this year; two years later there is no succession bench — and nobody traces it back to the old decision
The longer this loop runs, the harder it becomes to go back to the cause.

The sign you are treating a symptom

The same problem returns on a cycle, each time needing a bigger fix than last time. If you are outsourcing more this year than last for the same kind of work, that is not rising demand — it is internal capability withering.

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